$ASM further downside before relief bounce

2021년 12월 29일

In my last analysis, I showed the path for how we could get to $.20, however, I've since changed my view that we'll go higher from here and am expecting lower prices before we get up there.

I had initially thought that BTC would bounce higher from here, thus thinking that ASM would bounce with it, however, now my base case is that BTC will fall from here, and thus alts should see a bit more pain before bouncing.

I think there's a pretty strong chance that ASM won't bottom until $.049-.053 the two support levels in Orange on the chart. I did put the worst case scenario support on there as a possibility in red (if BTC were to fall to the extreme targets, but I'm not sure I see us getting there yet). I put it there because it is a possibility though so stay cautious. From there I'd expect price to form some sort of bottoming pattern and eventually moving out of this bearish channel before we have the possibility of higher prices.

The good news is that after those support levels are hit, then I think we should see a bounce higher and ultimately get up to the $.20-.32 resistances.

2022년 1월 21일

노트

Almost to the first support...

2022년 2월 22일

노트

Alright flipping bullish here. Here's the updated chart.