Pending setup on ARKK based on Historical Behaviour

2021년 10월 29일

Today we will share a pending setup we have on The ARKK Innovation ETF managed by Cathie Wood. Another great asset in terms of technical behavior.

What's the key idea of this setup?

-Once we have a CLEAR correction, EXAMPLE: a formation with more than 150 days or a significant drop in the price like 2020. We draw the MOST external trendline using Higher lows; the idea is that any candlestick must not be visible above that line. Ok, once the price makes the first breakout of that line, we wait for a small corrective pattern, which can be something like 3 days or more than 15 days.

IF that happens, we trade above that correction with a stop loss below it and a take profit level at 2.5 Risk to Reward ratio. In the following picture, you can see the historical result of this strategy, EVEN in situations that we should NOT have entered. (we use a stop loss of 150USD as an example on every setup)



Alright, so is this setup going to be a take-profit? I DONT F@%#ING now. And honestly, I don't care about the specific result of it. The only thing I know is that I'm executing a setup under a strategy that I have a clear edge over, so I don't know the result of the next setup. However, I'm certain that the result of the next 10 setups will have a positive edge.

The risk I will be taking on this setup is 2% of my capital on the stop loss. That means that if everything goes wrong, I will lose 2% of my capital. The duration of this setup can be between 20 to 45 days.

Thanks for reading! Feel free to add any comment or idea.

2021년 11월 11일

거래청산: 스탑 닿음