ARB/USDT – Falling Wedge Pattern Suggests Explosive Breakout Pot

The chart illustrates a macro falling wedge pattern on the 3-day timeframe — a bullish reversal structure commonly found at the end of a downtrend. A similar pattern previously played out in mid-2023, resulting in a sharp bullish breakout and a 2x price rally.


🟢 First Falling Wedge (2023)

Pattern: A falling wedge formed mid-2023.

1. Breakout: Price broke above the wedge resistance with strong volume confirmation.
   
   
2. Price Action: After the breakout, price doubled (2x move) from the wedge's height, reaching its ATH (All-Time High).
   
   
3. Time to ATH: Approximately 80 days after breakout to reach peak levels.
   

🟢 Second Falling Wedge (Current)

1. Structure: A much larger and longer falling wedge that has been forming for nearly a full year.
   
2. Breakout Imminent or Just Happened: Price seems to be on the verge of breaking out of the wedge.
   
3. Measured Move: Just like the first wedge, a 2x projection from the wedge’s height is plotted, targeting the $4+ range.
   

Projection Logic:

Since this wedge is 3 times longer than the first one in duration…

It could take ~240 days (80 days × 3) post-breakout to reach the new ATH

Conclusion

1. The current falling wedge breakout setup mirrors the first historical pattern — but at a larger scale.
   
   
2. Given that the pattern has taken 3x longer to form, it is reasonable (based on fractal theory and price/time symmetry) to expect a similar but extended rally, both in magnitude (2x) and duration (~240 days).
   
   
3. This analysis suggests a long-term bullish outlook for ARB, with patience being key for traders looking to ride this macro move.