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Quick Trades - AMD (short) + MU (long)

업데이트됨

Pretty straightforward. Here's what I just posted on Seeking Alpha:

"MU -- extremely oversold conditions. Yesterday before the close, went long the 10/26/2018 40.00 Call (up 42%).

AMD -- extremely overbought conditions, just went go long the 10/26/18 $31.00 Puts (up 16.6%)"

seekingalpha.com/stocktalk/100811065

Just look at the RSI levels for each. To be clear, both companies are solid / great stocks to own long-term, I'm just trading around all the volatility/profit taking.

cnbc.com/2018/09/13/tepper-says-hes-still-very-very-long-microns-stock.html

Not sure how long I'll hold both of these, but I'll post updates periodically.

노트

AMD puts are now only up 11.71% right now.

While I do expect more downside, I suspect it will be short-lived. Yesterday's sell-off was nothing more than profit-taking. Those are the dips I like to take advantage of and then move on (typically I would have sold already, but want to see how this plays out a bit longer).

As you can see, with shares up ~7%, investors want in this name -- driven by the improving fundamentals which lead to multiple analyst upgrades (this is one of the most love stocks out there right now). Average analyst price target is ~$40. This is why investors are stepping in today.

When I shorted AMD, RSI was at the overbought level of 85, now it's at 77. Historically, RSI for AMD can go to a high of +87. So we are in a trading range.

So, here's what I'm doing. I am maintaining my Oct-Puts and will hedge it with Oct-Calls. I'm looking at the 10/12/18 $33 Calls.

I'll likely buy these early next week. I don't typically like to open new positions on a Friday. Tho doesn't hurt to do so given that this is just a hedge position.

Enjoy the weekend everyone.

More updates to come.

Cheers!

노트

With MU options up +78% and earnings out today, I want to protect my profits by hedging with Puts.

I just went long the 9/28/2018 46.50 Puts (small hedge position).

Should be an exciting afternoon ;-)

More to come to stay tuned.

(accidentally posted this comment below lol)

액티브 트레이드

Congrats to those who followed this trade! Patience is always key.

AMD Puts are up +51%
MU Calls are up +30%

Total Gain +81% -- not bad for a less than 30-day trade ;-)

Going to keep these open, but trimming AMD to take in some profits. Totally up to you how you play it from here -- I'm not too greedy ;-)

I have another pair trade coming soon.

Stay tuned and congrats again.

Cheers!

노트

Gosh those Puts on AMD would be up +300-500% with the stock down +20%.

Congrats if you stayed in.

노트

New Position: AMD 01/17/2020 20.00 Calls

I will be trading around this position throughout 2019.

AMD is a perfect trading stock.

seekingalpha.com/stocktalk/101269655

노트

Just opened: AMD 12/21/2018 22.00 PUT

Very strong move today, but I think there will be some resistance/profit-taking here. Hoping to collect some cash as sellers step in.

Also, forgot to mention that I opened the MU 12/21/2018 40.00 Calls in one of my portfolios. Not too late to get in this name (I'd wait for a small pullback)