First see linked.
We've made a low in the area of where a wave 1 would typically end and we've retraced to around where wave 2 would typically end if a downtrend was to form. If there's another break - this could get nasty.
Get quite a lot of abuse for sharing a TA forecast on AMC saying it might not go to 10,000 tomorrow. Let me pre-answer to save time;
"Never went down the middle like your forecast"
- Okay. The forecast was to look for bears on a specified level. Markets can trade flat for a while.
"You've been wrong before"
- Okay. I'll be wrong again. That's what happens when you make probabilities based forecasts on the future.
"Go push the short narrative elsewhere!"
- Like where? This is a trading site. It's a good place for it. Also, no. Just take my money if you know better.
"You wish!"
- I don't. Not everyone betting on mean reversion wants you to fail, they're just betting on the odds.
We've made a low in the area of where a wave 1 would typically end and we've retraced to around where wave 2 would typically end if a downtrend was to form. If there's another break - this could get nasty.
Get quite a lot of abuse for sharing a TA forecast on AMC saying it might not go to 10,000 tomorrow. Let me pre-answer to save time;
"Never went down the middle like your forecast"
- Okay. The forecast was to look for bears on a specified level. Markets can trade flat for a while.
"You've been wrong before"
- Okay. I'll be wrong again. That's what happens when you make probabilities based forecasts on the future.
"Go push the short narrative elsewhere!"
- Like where? This is a trading site. It's a good place for it. Also, no. Just take my money if you know better.
"You wish!"
- I don't. Not everyone betting on mean reversion wants you to fail, they're just betting on the odds.
노트
Break has been made.
We may be inside of a crash event to 3000 in SPX.
Read the full case with backlog of historic analysis/forecasts here: holeyprofitnewsletter.substack.com/p/the-case-for-3000-in-spx
Read the full case with backlog of historic analysis/forecasts here: holeyprofitnewsletter.substack.com/p/the-case-for-3000-in-spx
관련 발행물
면책사항
해당 정보와 게시물은 금융, 투자, 트레이딩 또는 기타 유형의 조언이나 권장 사항으로 간주되지 않으며, 트레이딩뷰에서 제공하거나 보증하는 것이 아닙니다. 자세한 내용은 이용 약관을 참조하세요.
We may be inside of a crash event to 3000 in SPX.
Read the full case with backlog of historic analysis/forecasts here: holeyprofitnewsletter.substack.com/p/the-case-for-3000-in-spx
Read the full case with backlog of historic analysis/forecasts here: holeyprofitnewsletter.substack.com/p/the-case-for-3000-in-spx
관련 발행물
면책사항
해당 정보와 게시물은 금융, 투자, 트레이딩 또는 기타 유형의 조언이나 권장 사항으로 간주되지 않으며, 트레이딩뷰에서 제공하거나 보증하는 것이 아닙니다. 자세한 내용은 이용 약관을 참조하세요.