ADBE: Fractal Pattern Repeating Again?

ADBE has printed a surprisingly consistent technical pattern since 2023:
A rejection from supply, followed by a gap-down, then a gradual but deep decline.

We may now be witnessing the early stage of a fourth repeat.

📘 Historical Pattern
Zone 1: ~$575
• Gap: –5.71%
• Drop after gap: –12.11%
• Duration: 49 days

Zone 2: ~$551
• Gap: –8.85%
• Drop after gap: –18.55%
• Duration: 32 days

Zone 3: ~$458
• Gap: –6.71%
• Drop after gap: –18.21%
• Duration: 25 days

Zone 4: ~$425 (current)
• Gap: –2.53%
• Post-gap = in progress

🧠 All three prior moves began with a gap, followed by a small bounce, and then a larger sell-off.
Each of them dropped between –12% and –18% from the post-gap high.

🔍 Current Structure
• Price just rejected from ~$425 (1D supply)
• New gap-down of –2.53% has just occurred
• Currently sitting on critical DCS support zone: $382–$388

This is a high-stakes inflection area. A close below this support could trigger the next leg lower.

⚙️ Options Setup (Bearish Thesis)
💡 Trade Idea: Bear Put Spread (400 / 350, Jul 18 expiry)
• Defined risk with a 2.2:1 reward/risk ratio
• Breakeven ≈ $384
• Thesis becomes actionable if price breaks below the $382 DCS support
• Invalidation: strong reclaim of ~$425 supply

This setup targets a continuation of Adobe’s repeating structure.
It limits downside exposure while offering meaningful reward if breakdown confirms.

🙌 Found this helpful?
If this idea gave you value — a like 👍 or comment 💬 goes a long way!

Follow me for more structured trade setups based on price action + context.
Let’s grow with clarity, not noise. 📊💡