AAPL Game Plan: September 8, 2025

Premarket Range:

* High: $240.34 (PMH estimate from chart)
* Low: $239.01(AHL)
* PDH: $241.32
* PDL: $238.49
* VWAP + 13EMA clustered around $239.75–239.85



🟢 BULLISH SCENARIO: Range Break + Squeeze Toward $241.32–243.00

Trigger:

* Strong open above \$240.34 (PMH)
* Price holds above AHH \$239.86
* SPY + NQ support the move
* VIX remains < 16

Setup:

* Long on reclaim of $240.34 or bounce off \$239.86 support flip
* Use tight stop below VWAP or \$239.

Targets:

* TP1: \$241.32 (PDH)
* TP2: \$243.00
* TP3 (Stretch): $248.00 (macro level from wedge top)


Risk:

* False breakout → snap back into range


NEUTRAL SCENARIO: Ping-Pong Between \$239.00 and \$240.34**

Trigger:

* Price stuck inside PM range
* No volume confirmation
* VIX drifting but not spiking

Setup:

* Fade extremes:

* Long near \$239.01–239.20 (AHL + EMA zone)
* Short near \$240.20–240.34 (PMH test)
* Avoid middle zone congestion (\$239.50–239.80)

Targets:

* TP1: \$239.85
* TP2: \$240.30
* TP3: \$238.70 if range breaks down


Risk:

* Breakout trap while fading levels


🔴 BEARISH SCENARIO: Breakdown to \$238.00–236.00

Trigger:

* Break below AHL $239.01 → then PDL \$238.49
* VIX rises > 16
* SPY breaks VWAP / tech turns red

Setup:

* Short on flush through \$238.49 with volume
* Can also short failed reclaim of $239.01 after break
* Keep stop tight above $239.50–239.60

Targets:

* TP1: $237.75
* TP2: $236.00 (major DP level)
* TP3 (Stretch): $228.00 (