AAPL Price Prediction 200+

5월 30일

Various AAPl price trend possibilities, and how to (hopefully) benefit from them.
The chart presents recent resistances (baby blue) and support lines (light green).
Two possibilities at the moment: resistances 196 & 200 overcome (Bull), or one of the two resistances failed to overcome, plummet to supports at 186 and below (Bear).

If bull, buy right after resistance broken, at about 202, as the bulls will likely drive higher so price doesn't fall back below 200. Although, buying below 202 might be a mistake, as anything below a 1% upwards shift from 200 doesn't signify much movement. Pay attention to RSI if planning to buy below 202. Also, make sure earnings call is either a few weeks ahead, or wait for earnings release to analyse market reaction.

If bear, then could fall from either 190, 192, 196, or 200 resistance. If 190/2/6 resistance, could plummet beyond 186 all the way down to 168 if bears are too strong / bulls waiting for earnings (nearly the same fall has already happened twice before, so cannot discount the possibility). Should try to buy in anywhere from 164-170 range. Best bet might be to average down by starting to buy at 170 until the support at 165 to keep average near ~168. If it also breaks 165 support and tumbles beyond 160, then something went very wrong in the earnings. Hence, I suggest that if we're in 167-170 range the few days before earnings, buy less than you would than if we were already 164-167 range. Regardless, once we hit resistance at 200 again, it might be good to sell off some part of the bought shares ($30 / share), then to buy again a few dollars cheaper while consolidating in the 190s. Note: May not be optimal to sell & re-buy for those paying higher taxes.

If, on the other hand, we fall from the 200 resistance back below the 196 mark, then continue falling to 186, two possibilities: dance around between 186-196, or keep falling to 180 (or below). In the latter situation, do as before, where you try to buy some right after the higher support is broken, and keep buying at the lower support (180). If happening near earnings, same idea. If the former occurs, then we could either break out from 192/6 resistances and above, or lose down from 190/2. If break out, buy between 192-193; if fall below 186 and support at 180, buy between 179-183.

Omni out.

Open to respond to any suggestion/questions you may have. Not financial advise.