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TAS1TheActualSnail
2024년 3월 6일 오후 4시 38분

BTC/USD Inflation priced in! ~Period 2009 - 2023 (by TAS) 

Bitcoin all time history indexINDEX

설명

The script creates a custom indicator titled "BTC Adjusted for Economic Factors.

Adjusted BTC Price is plotted in red, making it more prominent. The adjusted price is Bitcoin's historical closing prices adjusted for cumulative inflation over time, based on the Core Consumer Price Index (CPI) annual inflation rates from 2009 onwards.

The script calculates the adjusted price of Bitcoin by taking into account the effect of inflation on its value. It uses annual CPI rates for each year from 2009 to 2022 to calculate a cumulative inflation factor. The script assumes a placeholder inflation rate of 2.5% for 2023, indicating that this value should be updated when the actual rate is available. The script suggests adding CPI rates for additional years as they become available to maintain the accuracy of the adjustment.

Here's a breakdown of how the script works:

Core CPI Annual Inflation Rates: It starts by defining the annual inflation rates for each year from 2009 to 2022, expressed as a percentage divided by 100 to convert to a decimal.

Cumulative Inflation Calculation: The script calculates cumulative inflation starting from the year 2009 up to the current year. For each year that has passed since 2009, it multiplies the cumulative inflation factor by (1 + cpiRate), where cpiRate is the inflation rate for that year. This effectively compounds the inflation rate over time.

Adjusting Bitcoin's Price: The script then adjusts Bitcoin's closing price (close) for the calculated cumulative inflation to get the adjusted price (adjustedPrice).

Plotting the Prices: Finally, it plots both the original and the adjusted Bitcoin prices on the chart, allowing users to visually compare how inflation has theoretically impacted Bitcoin's value over time.
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Important to notice, Fib. Retracements from the 2017 cycle top to the recent top (¬80K) doesn't look invalidated.
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Inputs and feedback are welcome!
코멘트
remkovdm
Would be more useful to see it the other way around, a line going lower than BTC with buying power. I can't buy the same amount of eggs with the 60k now than I could with the 60k in march 2021. So a more valuable chart would be seeing what the bitcoin at that price can buy you.
TAS1TheActualSnail
@remkovdm, I am working on it. Thank you for feedback! Soon I share the results!
TAS1TheActualSnail
MyDyingBride67
Well done!
TAS1TheActualSnail
@MyDyingBride67, Thanks, for comparison there is a new indicator proposed by another member. tradingview.com/script/qyra6iO4-BTC-Purchasing-Power-2009-20XX/qyra6iO4
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