It's interesting to notice how gold bottomed before Christmas in the last few years before the New Years Rally .
I highlighted by green the New Year's rallies. Red arrows are showing the lows.
In 2013 : Dec.31. was the bottom and we had a 200$ rally in 2014 Jan-Feb
In 2014 : Nov.17. was the bottom and we printed a 180$ rally in 2015 Jan.
In 2015 : Dec.2. was the bottom and we printed a 330$ rally in 2016 Jan-July.
In 2016 : Was Dec.1. the bottom ? Will we print a 400 $ rally up to 1540$ ?????
Notice that in 2016 we had 2 big rallies : one in January- February and one in May-July. It never happened in 2013-14-15... Also notice that great part of gold rallies last for 5-6 weeks. Last year we had 2 great rallies.
We are 15$ from a possible bottom. I'm still on the long side.