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IvanLabrie
2016년 9월 15일 오전 12시 30분

Oil WTI: At a critical juncture 

WTI CRUDE OILTVC

설명

If we don't see bearish follow through within the next 3 sessions we can expect further upside in crude.
I'm long small with a wide stop, and looking to add and tighten the stops soon.

Good luck,

Ivan Labrie.

코멘트

Good progress. I'll add to longs aggressively on a break of today's high after the close, and will tighten the stop loss to today's low.

코멘트

Testing lower levels of support. I'm out but will reenter on a new daily high.

매매 수동청산

액티브 트레이드

Clearly, bulls now in control, let's see for how long.

매매 수동청산

코멘트

(oil could remain sideways, in a triangle here, but, if it breaks resistance above, it could rally really strongly)

This is when fundamentals kick in, OPEC members will likely fight for market share with higher prices, so we can expect to remain range-bound for a long time.

코멘트

(buy airlines)

매매 수동청산

Good spot to exit oil longs, maybe half, and buy back lower.

코멘트

Good time for both the buy, and the sell. We have to wait for 3 days, which matches the open after the OPEC news date.

코멘트

The Obama news might create some volatility: zerohedge.com/news/2016-09-23/siding-saudi-arabia-obama-vetoes-sept-11-bill-passed-unanimously-congress

I'll be looking closely at oil, to jump back in the long. I expect the trend to turn wildly bullish after we break up from this range. For now, it seems like the monthly resistance needs time to break:



It can break it by the end of the month, or in 2 more months, as a minimum, it can also take more time than that, but when it breaks up, it has between 46% and 140% upside. So, buy dips to the bottom of the range, sell partially at the top.
Price probably won't go too far down due to fundamentals.

코멘트

*buy dips at the bottom of the range

코멘트

코멘트
summer6
thanks Ivan :)
IvanLabrie
Welcome, good luck!
NamMyohoRengyKyo
The hard flush down to clear out the longs?
IvanLabrie
Yes, precisely.
NamMyohoRengyKyo
Next week will be interesting,

Oil Tumbles To $44 Handle After Saudis Confirm "No Decision" Next Week, Fed Crackdown On Bank Commodity Holdings

zerohedge.com/news/2016-09-23/oil-tumbles-44-handle-after-saudis-confirm-no-decision-next-week
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