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2017년 1월 5일 오전 9시 51분

OIL - At the edge of breakdown 

Crude Oil (WTI)FXCM

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The traders at the sideline got one more opportunity yesterday and today as the dip buyers pulled up price one more time.

2 days ago we printed a key reversal on the daily chart : new high and on the same day a close below yesterday's low. Actually we not just closed below the 30th Dec low but we took out 5 days' lows. So this is a strong key reversal. The daily chart for the traders who are not following cycles looks like a test of the breakout. But it will not just test 51.72$, it will break below that level soon.

Notice the key reversal's volume: this is the biggest volume in the last half year. No question: big players sold their positions in the breakout and the small guys bought the exact top.
The same story again....
The more time we spend here around 53$ the steeper the drop will be.

We still have the divergencies in the RSI and MACD and RSI left the overbought territory.
When we bottom the 7 day RSI will reach oversold territory. And I think it will be deep in the oversold...
The other good news that MACD crossed over.

I'm looking for a 10$ drop here in oil in the following 4-5 weeks.

Get ready : this decline coming to your chart near you soon.

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Key reversal covering 5days' top and low:

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I want to share a few thoughts with you. I know it's frustrating to wait for this breakdown while everybody is so bullish.
Just take a look at this chart:

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All the bulls who bought the breakout at 52 at the beginning of December (!!!) are in 1$ plus right now. Time is on the short side now. The breakout had no follow through for more than a month...
It will be a steep drop to the ICL.

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WE are just testing back the double top's neckline.

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It's still short. Nothing changed. We are not in a panic selling so don't wait for 2$ down days day after day in a row for a week

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I'm adding to my short positions today.
Yesterday's "big pop" was less than half volume of the key reversal.

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It could be our big down day in oil...
Both MACD and TSI wasn't able to break above the 0 level, and they are crossing down.
RSI couldn't stay overbought and heading to oversold.
Bulls will lose patience if we break below the 50 EMA (50.72$)

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ANd we just turned down from the 4hrs chart's down trendline...

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Godot might have arrived....

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OIL US FEB 2017 CFD just run out.

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Fasten your seat belts. It's startiiiiiiiing....

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I'M still holding the shorts. Let's wait for the close.
Volume is low.

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Today is the day when we make everything great again.
Oil can't be exception.

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Sooner or later it will break down. Mostly it happens when it looks it wants to break up.

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They've run the stops above 53,50$.
SOBs.
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GcNaif
Good Call man
MrRick
I'm shorting motor oil and hedging it with transmission fluid.
xsubtownerx
Rig count: 551 - Highest level since October 2015.
ewtrder
Time for another buy!
cigno.nero
U are the Number 1!
EnergyCorridor
Apri, can you comment on what 'CFD' is a abbreviation for, I am not familiar with it. Maybe front-month contract??
daytraderjames
@thehtizzle, Try googling CFD
camB
@thehtizzle,
lmgtfy.com/?q=cfk
camB
@camB, damn you autocorrect. Should be: lmgtfy.com/?q=cfd
EnergyCorridor
@camB, haha - your video was hilarious by the way. I have never heard of trading in CFD and not sure why you would want to do that vs. futures contracts, I guess to lower your leverage and risk.
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