what you see here pictures is: - H + S average target is the length of the head to base down ~62 pip puts us at about 102.90 - short term ascending bottom support line from starting 10/4 caught the initial drop and where we closed - (sloppy) descending wedge is nearing its throw back point. - standard optimal trade entry (OTE) for long from the rise up from 102.62 is around this area when fibbed out as well.
(Also worth noting the 2 and 4 hr period are reset on all oscillators.. if thats your thing)
Wildcards 10/10 is a JPY holiday. 10/10 is a partial banking holiday in the US
this mean aussie, frankfurt and london will be driving most of the price action for next week open.
A safe trade might be long w/ stop around .74 , tp at ~104.28
(this would also fit the lower high bear narrative if you're thinking much further is in order)
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also worth noting , zoom out to daily, draw a trendline from 99 to here.. and ~86 is about where it touches
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had more time to look at this area.. .383 fib of the weekly move is exactly where the close price was. AND the low stopped exactly the weekly r2. spooky really.