RH Earnings Setup – Moderately Bullish into AMC (2025-06-12)

📈 RH Earnings Setup – Moderately Bullish into AMC (2025-06-12)
Ticker: RH (Restoration Hardware)
Event: Earnings Report — 🗓 June 12, After Market Close (AMC)
Strategy: Earnings Catalyst Call Play | Confidence: 65%
Expiry: June 13, 2025 | Entry Timing: Pre-Earnings Close

🔍 Market & Options Snapshot
• Price: N/A (based on latest data)
• Expected Move: ~10.8% (per IV expectations)
• Max Pain: $185.00
• Call OI Focus: $190 (614 contracts)
• Put OI Focus: $160 (797 contracts)
• Implied Volatility: Elevated (as expected pre-earnings)
• VIX: ~17.26 → Neutral backdrop

🧠 Trade Rationale
🟢 Bullish Catalysts:
• Narrower Q1 loss forecast → potential earnings beat
• AI/news-driven attention and solid call OI concentration at $190
• Normal IV conditions give the trade clean R:R setup

⚠️ Risk Factors:
• Max pain at $185 → possible pinning effect
• IV crush risk post-earnings
• Earnings miss = premium devaluation

✅ Recommended Trade Setup
🎯 Direction: CALL

📍 Strike: $190

📅 Expiry: 2025-06-13

💵 Entry Price: $9.70

🎯 Profit Target: $15.00 (+54%)

🛑 Stop Loss: $6.00 (–38%)

📈 Confidence: 65%

📏 Size: 1 contract (~5% account risk suggested)

⏰ Entry Timing: Pre-earnings close

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