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IvanLabrie
2017년 2월 18일 오후 4시 38분

NGAS: Keep an eye on support here 

Natural Gas (Henry Hub)FXCM

설명

NGAS could resume the uptrend here, and might be an interesting setup if we get a bottoming pattern in the daily chart. I took a small risk aggressive long on Friday, and will monitor it to reenter if stopped, if this trade remains valid. Upside is significant, close to $5, in the long run, but it might a while to base around here firs, which would be a great thing to observe take place within the next 3 weeks.

If for some reason we are to break support, we could see rapid fall to the low volume support level outlined in green. If we do test that, that'd be a low risk long opportunity, and also a do or die situation for bulls, so, don't hesitate on going long with a tight stop if that level is retested. In this timeframe on chart, I'd like to see the bar close above support, and form a smaller range bar, and eventually break a previous bar high, before rallying again. This can take the shape of a consolidation after a rapid spike in the daily, which would be great, since it would give us further low risk long opportunities.

Cheers,

Ivan Labrie.

코멘트

Support isn't holding, I don't see a clear long entry here yet. I'm flat.

액티브 트레이드

Bam the strongest support -green box- held!
I'm long from near the low.

코멘트



Bam, we 100% nailed this.

Holding with break even stop. I'll add on dips with a tight stop.

Nice extra confirmation: bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-02-23/u-s-gas-pain-train-may-chug-along-as-spring-fever-grips-bears

'Contrarian headline' signal.

매매 수동청산



Banked for now. Will reenter on dips, or if we break the resistance above.

코멘트

We broke the resistance, so, we reenter longs on dips after today's close.

매매 수동청산

It's better to wait until July or maybe the end of the year to try to catch a rally in NG.

코멘트
ropaar
Make sense, thanks Ivan.
keshavreddi
Thanks Ivan
keshavreddi
Thanks Ivan for the details, can you let me know ETF or stock to trade this?
IvanLabrie
@keshavreddi, I usually trade it with CFDs. I wouldn't know which ETF is best, or which stocks can act as a good proxy. Perhaps long Russian stocks, like Gazprom?
IvanLabrie
IvanLabrie
@IvanLabrie, My bad, it's one dividend per year, 5.1% yield. Not that bad actually, considering earnings.
ropaar
Like it.
ropaar
Looks great from yesterday.
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