Long Term Uptrend Broken - Sell Off?

2023년 10월 30일

Looks like the long-term uptrend since the new year is broken in Nikkei. Yet, I will wait for weekly for the final confirmation. YCC is on watch. But, I don't think that affects Nikkei's outcome. No matter it's no change change, or an increase in yield, Nikkei will fall. The falling speed is the only thing different. But, I do think if YCC is tweaked, the Yen might find some strength in the short term.

Strategy: A USDJPY long + JPN225 Short. If they increase interest rate, JPN225 outshines the JPY appreciation. If they don't, JPY would 100% collapse and the long term could be pushing to 160 range, thus doesn't matter.