In the screencast I show the evidence of a setup that is approaching, for a nice controlled loss. Loss? Nobody want's to hear about that - but it is exactly what we do!
Key points: 1. Alternate ABCD pattern with a C-point at 50% (Scott Carney criteria). 2. Zone of congestion. 3. Probabilities for the south based on ATR-based indicator and GMMA. 4. Time momentum favouring the bears. 5. Weak bullish rebellion.
I am of course delighted to learn if others have a different perspective based on the technical position.
This post is not a recommendation to short or a prediction. I have labelled it as short because that is potentially what it is.