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Help noob trader! I saw two short positon opportunites

POLONIEX:FCTBTC   None
Hi,I'm noob trader! I saw two short positon opportunites but I want to enter with lower risk.

This is factom. It breaks it's bullish trendline and enters convergence phase.
Once it makes head and shoulder pattern, I think there's a short position opportunity.
But I think first one is too risky to get a short because lower points are keep going up.

So, if it breaks its neckline, just keep watch until it retests it's resistance down trend line .
Then enters short position.

Gosu traders! Would you help me to figure out which point is safer to enter?
Thanks in advance.
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