After watching the price action today it looks clear to me that a meltdown 3-400 points will probably not occur. I'm seeing another ABC down - the C of B looks like it's starting today. After that, one more up for a dramatic C would make sense as the mid time frame RSI will have nice bullish divergence at the low. This move down (if it occurs) should be finished by Friday.
So while we probably break the near term lows, the lower BB or near there should be support and another rally up to 4k or so to confuse everyone should take place.
yellow trendline is very important to the market - look at all the saves there. Gapping below that tomorrow (if it happens) would be bearish and I think would confirm the C wave down.
코멘트
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코멘트
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so far it looks like we're in 3 of C. They are breaching the yellow line pre market - bearish. I fast move down to 3750 area would be a buy in my opinion.
코멘트
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they are trying to save this level, so it's clear - if they can save it - it's bullish, if they can't - it's a short.
코멘트
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looks like it broke, wait to see open reaction. Gap down and go would be ideal, longs trapped and shorts can't get into position.
코멘트
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if they gap and go down this morning, wait for a test of the bottom of the triangle for entry.
코멘트
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lower level of triangle reached, expecting a break, retest for a bit and then lower for the rest of today and maybe into tomorrow.
코멘트
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won't be any large bounces in this C wave down
코멘트
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backtest of triangle, if it's a C the next move down will be very strong
코멘트
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IF they can get over the upper triangle trendline again it will have to be seen as bullish. I don't expect it but you never know.
코멘트
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Stop hunt right to the upper trendline, very weird and fast price action, cannot tell which way this is going to go. Keeping stops tight in case this reverses....
코멘트
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everyone is watching the triangle and MM's are playing around with everyone's expectations of what's supposed to happen (including mine)
코멘트
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still holding the lower triangle - frustrating.
코멘트
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This COULD BE a triangle for B, a triangle within a triangle - very interesting. Note the RSI is quite low compared to other lows. Be careful either short or long. Personally taking some profit in case this plays out since I have to go out for the afternoon. The market can be really hard sometimes!
I'm just glad I didn't let go of those tesla shorts yesterday, I'm happy with just not losing money. Still looking like it wants to come down but long term buyers here may keep it above $100
the_sunship
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@BuzzedLightBeer, it will probably do what the market does, I'd take profit sometime soon. I think the market will bounce Friday or Monday
mykohph
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Hopefully we break this tmw or Friday downside
the_sunship
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@mykohph that's what I'm thinking at the moment but I think it will be a short lived breakdown
mykohph
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Feels like they want to wait for cpi before making the move
the_sunship
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@mykohph, maybe, but my guess is CPI will be the bounce.