Hoag

CrudeOil (CL): Hold and Buy strategy

NYMEX:CL1!   경질 원유 선물 (Light Crude Oil Futures)
Talking Points:

CrudeOil Technical Strategy: Correction still in a process, expecting 42 before reversal
Elliottwave Count: Wave (b) formed a complex correction of w-x-y.

Analysis
CrudeOil (CL) is stuck on complex correction cycle after reversed from 26.17 level to 51.65. A move from 26.17 is correcting weekly bearish trend. However, after hitting 51.65 resistance, pair is forming complex correction and not able to break it's resistance on 51.50-52.00 region. Current level is well supported by weekly 100 SMA, 100 daily SMA and 200 daily SMA. As we are expecting complex flat correction in CrudeOil, we are able to see current price might test 41.90 before it reverse and form reversal.

Analysis
As we are expecting 41.90 area to test as part of flat correction, we are expecting to reach there in corrective formation. Considering this fact, shorting CrudeOil might not provide good risk reward and same time time to reach our target might be longer than expected. In this scenario, we will going long CrudeOil once it confirm it's reversal.

-- By Hoagtrading.com (@Hoagtrading)

-- By Hoagtrading.com (Twitter: @Hoagtrading)
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