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MacroTradingE
2021년 3월 8일 오전 3시 5분

week 2/ march 

Bitcoin / U.S. dollarBitstamp

설명

Trading journal

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money flow in to alt

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note

next inflation rate from the Fed will be published on Wednesday, March 10th, an hour before NY open

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my play here is accumulate alts, and margin long on retrace to 48.5-49.5

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Btc - Buy vs Sell (Spot vs Derivs)

Price: $50,483

Spot Vol.
 Buy: 72.5M
 Sell: 92M

Derivs Vol.
 Buy: 492.6M
 Sell: 502.7M

USDT Vol.
 Buy: 14M
 Sell: 16.4M

(Latest 1 hours of data, 03/08 13-14PM)

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Btc - Buy vs Sell (Spot vs Derivs)

Price: $50,804

Spot Vol.
 Buy: 66.2M
 Sell: 73.1M

Derivs Vol.
 Buy: 497.8M
 Sell: 363.3M

USDT Vol.
 Buy: 14.6M
 Sell: 13.2M

(Latest 1 hours of data, 14-15PM)

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btc slowly grinding up, accumulating.
money flowing in to Alts

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i have accumulated ETH,XTZ,LINK,DOT,NEO,HBAR,EOS,XRP

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48.7 ish is where spot gaps placed at

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China A50 - closed -4% , Hangseng -2%
US stocks are down, expect it to bounce on NY open.
Thats where BTC will mostly going to have fun.

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i am scaling margin long 49.1-48.5

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gap filled, im scaling in margin long

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+ alpha

emerging market always have a significant algo that push the market to north.
find one, back test it, you will have financial freedom.

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note

could see some bleed on NY open, but i expect we will have major bounce coming up today. volume tells you the story, stay away from distraction.

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still on track, spot volume pushed up market, lots of short opened in market.
i reckon that would be next fuel to jump up ath

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Btc - Buy vs Sell (Spot vs Derivs)

Price: $54,321

Spot Vol.
 Buy: 138.3M
 Sell: 132.9M

Derivs Vol.
 Buy: 662.5M
 Sell: 638.9M

USDT Vol.
 Buy: 20.6M
 Sell: 20.3M

(Latest 1 hours of data)

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im reducing my risk here, supply pops, doesn't seems like shake out
we may have little more correction to 52k, if it goes below 52k, 40k is even on table.

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Printer goes brrrrr

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we have fresh money that has minted , but prob its going to dump and scoop up.
expect btc to fill liquidity void today, and bounce up to ATH.

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i am bidding back on 52k btc, 1650 ETH with money that been risk off.

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53980 seems good r/r for spot long.
POC on the last leg up. have liquidity below to 51k too. but still 54k should have a good size of reaction.

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we got bounce on 54k ish, but volume doesn't seems like promising here,
still holding 50% of alt spots, but not longing btc here.
my guess btc hit supply zone ( little above daily open ), then retrace back to 54k or dip to 52k ish.

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Poc

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Above poc, and lots of market buy (sos)
Im looking for buy more spots rather than margin long. But yea this look like proper bounce now.
And all bonds are heading down esp italy

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Btc - Buy vs Sell (Spot vs Derivs)

Price: $56,874

Spot Vol.
 Buy: 123.9M
 Sell: 115.8M

Derivs Vol.
 Buy: 745.2M
 Sell: 909.3M

USDT Vol.
 Buy: 11.5M
 Sell: 21.5M

(Latest 1 hours of data)

Guess whats going to happen

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Btc - Buy vs Sell (Spot vs Derivs)

Price: $56,973

Spot Vol.
 Buy: 92.5M
 Sell: 98.5M

Derivs Vol.
 Buy: 591.4M
 Sell: 720.3M

USDT Vol.
 Buy: 32.4M
 Sell: 27.8M

(Latest 1 hours of data)

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i am bidding this 2 range

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2 possible range, and major alt time.
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SSaddo_D
phase1의 끝을 확인 할 수있는 지표는 무엇이 있을까요?
SSaddo_D
@SSaddo_D, 재축적에 대한 생각도 듣고 싶습니다~~
위로 치지 못하고 32k~ 25k 구간까지 내려올 것으로 보고 있습니다.
항상 잘 보고 있습니다!
MacroTradingE
@SSaddo_D, 안녕하세요. 사실 PHASE 1 의 끝이 어디일거란건 추측일 뿐이라 , 현재는 아직 페이즈1의 끝이라고 볼만한 sell 이 나오지 않았고 , 의미있는 피보채널에서의 반등을 이뤄내 그 윗 채널상단인 70k 근방까지 갈꺼라고 예상해보고있어요. 그리고시장에 숏이 많아질 것을 생각하여 조금 더 over extend 될 수 있다라는 생각이구요. 만약 상승을 70k 근방까지 이뤄내고 조정이온다면 전 37k 정도는 지켜주지 않을까 생각되네요. 물론 그 아래쪽에도 liquidity void 가 29k 까지 존재하긴 합니다!
oldgoats
저는 이번 상승장에서 60k 중후반 정도로 보고있는데 이번목표를 얼마정도 예상하고있나요?ㅇㅅㅇ
MacroTradingE
@oldgoats, 전 phase 1 이 72-82 생각하고 있어요
MacroTradingE
@oldgoats,
이 구간 어딘가일거라 생각하네요, 숏 스퀴즈가 더해지면 조금 더 over extended 될꺼라 생각해요 72k over
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