poc was 47491, its now 46386. absorbed or sold ? leaning on distribution still.
volume surge towards resistance = evidence of supply.
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Big flows into bonds this coming week; risk off
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eager longs will be punished.
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red line shows bullas hopium. dont see a any good retest of spring action. i will only consider margin long if price reclaims and support on poc, or market shows some signs of strength ( from spots )
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those red box is good buy opp anyway if it given.
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if price reclaims positive delta zone 44.9. this will be a new range low, till then its range high.
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opposite view based on TA
3 drives reversal pattern bullish divergence
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for the W(in)
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why CO made a range up here? and dumped on fresh demand? btc going to further dip? like 30k? check back later
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AKA 2nd spring?
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Not longing under 47300.
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derivative rally like 42-58k = not healthy, why volume is not moderate.
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47k is poc for this whole range up. don't see good market buy action coming in from spot. big longs opened in finex, not sure if its sustainable.
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March 26 Derebit options expiry Notional Value 3.5b Put/Call ratio 0.91 2 potential calls buying with bigger value 48k, 52k puts - 40k Max pain > 28k
RD】3/5 (8:00 UTC) C 9289 / P 9650 YE】3/12 C 4864 / P 4076 PL】3/19 C 1888 / P 1964 GN】3/26 C 39826 / P 36170 BL】4/30 C 5221 / P 4134
210301 13:35
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bounced with push on derivatives. no signs of strength on spot market. relief rally possible. no bias here, leaning we do have more downside after this.
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yellow box btc face supply
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zoom out. its another accumulation. dont know the bottom, top. should be defined soon.
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wyckoff theory / volume anal
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volume has trend
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47753 CB POC
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46891 FINEX
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finex premium gone when this range poc reversed.
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continuation vs reaccumulation
continuation target should be around over 69k reaccumulation target range around 33-40 (with possible spring to 29k)
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black ghost pattern if its continuation
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open a position after confirmation, y loss bottom or top, but there is many move to come with.
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its like dec 2020. no moderate volume in rise, but it broke upward without strength. sideline for now
reclaim 618, i will look for long, until then hedged with btc short.
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small prints from last day, keep getting smaller smaller. lots of onchain movements. exchanges seems refunding. note same happened last nov.30 ish, dec 25ish.
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4 hour vwap 46550 1 hour vwap 49002
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poc 46372
around 46k would be good point if y look for long. not interested atm.
@SSaddo_D, 안녕하세요~ 비트 파이넥스가 코인베이스보다 가격이 비쌀 때를 이야기해요.
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제 목표가 51k-52k가 온다면 전 보라색을 생각 하고 있어요...절단후 롱..^*
현물 잡을려면 38k가는게 좋기는하지만요...ㅋㅋ
MacroTradingE
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@ghxodhkd, 네 내려와주면 감사히 매수 할 것 같네요. 아직은 큰 상방은 안보이네요 전~
ghxodhkd
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28k가면 저....청산인데...ㅠㅠ
떨어지면 전 39k - 33k정도에...2포인트 롱매수 받아 볼려구요..
51-52k 정도만 올라가주길...제발~~~^*
MacroTradingE
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@ghxodhkd, ㅎㅎ 설마 가것어요? 지금 당장은 어디까지 갈꺼다 라고 이야기하는건 예언이죠 ㅎㅎ 경우의 수 생각해서 그에 맞게 플랜/실행 하시면되죠~ 전 방금 다시 숏 열었어요~ 조금 더 올라가더라도 아직은 반등이란 증거가 안보이네요 제 짧은 시야에서는 :) 화이팅!
MacroTradingE
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@ghxodhkd, 46924 넘어서 지지되면 긍정적으로 봐도 될텐데, spot 볼륨이 너무없네요
MacroTradingE
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@ghxodhkd, 그리고 38k , 32k 전부 저도 매수포인트인데 38k 롱 잡은건 36 손절은 잡을거같아요 다시 밑에서 잡으면 되니까. 그 아래로 너무 유동성이 없는 레인지라.
ghxodhkd
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주봉하락장학형....32000까지 생각하고 매매해야할거 같아요...
숏 못잡았는데...ㅠㅠ
MacroTradingE
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@ghxodhkd, 그러게요! 영 안좋아보이네요 델타값도 현물 볼륨도 , 옵션도 만기 잘 넘기는거같은데 영 불안하네요
finex premium이 어떤의미인가요??