앞선 분석글에 , CBOE 선물 만기일이 시장에 끼치는 영향에 대한 제 의견은 변함이 없습니다. 50일 주기 하락장 패턴도 아직 유효하다 생각합니다.
6월 25일(직전 저점 5.7K) 50일 주기 하락장은 저점을 경신하며 끝이 났고, 선물 만기일인 30일 까지 횡보를 하여 낮은 가격대를 유지하고 있다고 가정해보면, 이제 직전 저점(5.7K)을 깰 이유가 없다고 판단됩니다. 제가 주장하는 것은 선물 만기일을 기점으로 추세가 전환되는 것입니다.
* 6월 25일 (하락장 기간 패턴) : * 6월 27일 ( 선물 만기일) :
In my previous analysis, my opinion on the impact of the CME and CBOE futures expiration date on the market remains unchanged. I think the 50 day bear cycle pattern is still valid.
Assuming that the 50-day cycle period ends on June 25(5.7K), and maintain a low price by drift sideways Until June 30(CME expireation date), we now believe there is no reason to break the previous low (5.7K). What I am claiming is that the trend will shift from CME futures expiration date.
* June 25 Analysis : Bear market period pattern.
* June 27 Analysis : CME futures expiration date
Starting on June 30, the CEM expiration date, there is a good signal that the trend is likely to change. It broke through the bottom(6.0K) of February, and breaking all the two downward trend lines (blue), even drilled the bottom(6.4K) in April. My opinion on the impact of the 50 day bearish period pattern and the CME and CBOE futures expiration date are still valid.
The resistance line descending from June 7th also was penetrated. There is still a resistance line (around 7K) coming down from December 17th. A good signal to signal the upside is expected to move up the peak until the CBOE expiration date (18.07.18. 20:00), and CME date(18.7.27. 13:00). And the bear market is expected from the CME expiration date (18.7.28. 01: 00). * London time(UTC)
향후 방향은 이 자리(6.4K)가 지켜질지 말지에 따라 결정될 듯 보입니다.
BTC is being supported by April Bottom(6.4K).
The future direction seems to be decided depending on whether this position (6.4K) is defended or not.