MacroTradingE

week3 / march / last leg up on PHASE 1

BITSTAMP:BTCUSD   비트코인 / 달러
1323 뷰
16

매매일지
코멘트:
possible 2 range that gives time major alt to follow up.
코멘트:
코멘트:
코멘트:
yes we will eventually fill the gap, but this time i expect btc to finish leg up and full retrace back later to liquidity void and fill the gap on that retrace.
shake out early monday morning, and shoot back up next week (green week)
코멘트:
also poc doesn't really effect hard on this new range since we broke ATH,
but if you looking to enter new long position, 59908 - 60200 would work.
코멘트:
in bull market, real alt bull market comes when dominance below 60
코멘트:
코멘트:
and 2nd option
코멘트:
ETH
코멘트:
small bidding here
코멘트:
50x long taken out, 25x ? don't think so
코멘트: time for major Alts maybe ?
코멘트:
코멘트: still think we won't fill the CME gap, market will pushed thru derivatives, and fill the void later with spot sells.
코멘트:
코멘트:
코멘트: Btc - Buy vs Sell (Spot vs Derivs)

Price: $58,999

Spot Vol.
 Buy: $122.4M
 Sell: $138.2M

Derivs Vol.
 Buy: $768.7M
 Sell: $1B

USDT Vol.
 Buy: $35.6M
 Sell: $29.4M

(Latest 1 hours of data)

i ve bid more on this level 59200
코멘트: cme gap below , lots of untouched liquidity , fresh shorts
if co wants to push market with derivatives, they need a fuel
and it should be a good one.
so no directional bias, sure we can grab liquidity below 57k ish.
but think y are the CO that moves market, if you can push market with derivatives thru short closing = buying back (spot) , easily to upside and y can unload some spot btc on the better place, also it would make a big liquidity chunk below that can support their re accumulation or distribution. its a theory.
코멘트: viceversa - there is many demand on around cme gap that can bring bounce quick, so y can sell bit of stocks to pull the price down lower to get better bounce.

reason why i do not think this way is, there is no real supply at market on this moment, market is moving with derivatives now, then CO must close long position to sell the stocks, see the funding rates ( viewbase.com ). i don't see there is much closing on long positions.
코멘트: so when btc bounce on this range, and head to 65k or over.
we will see that moves pushed thru derivatives (volume) and ironically funding won't go too high from now ( because CO will close their position on the uprise )
ppls won't calling for high funding rate ( because its been there, and its a BULL market lol ) and we will face rough retracement to this range or dipper ( 42-57 )
코멘트:
and funny that CME isn't selling, if it fills , it should be way dipper than 57.4 it could be.
코멘트:
코멘트:

cme gap not filled, but look at spots.. its already there
코멘트:
코멘트: cme gap not filled, but liquidity void taken
코멘트:
didn't expect it lol.
54k is next liquidity zone
코멘트:
case #2
코멘트:
case #3

taken out all liquidity void near by. 50k
코멘트:
코멘트:
코멘트:
better we get support here, since 3day candle has strong support.
코멘트: NY open will be something cool?
코멘트:
see the liquidity void
코멘트:
코멘트:
consolidate below poc, possible one more wick down.
코멘트:
in a bigger picture, btc should bounce on 52.7 with closing all the liquidity void.
if we go lower i will worry.
코멘트: Btc - Buy vs Sell (Spot vs Derivs)

Price: $54,496

Spot Vol.
 Buy: $354.6M
 Sell: $352.9M

Derivs Vol.
 Buy: $1.9B
 Sell: $1.9B

USDT Vol.
 Buy: $45.2M
 Sell: $41.8M

(Latest 1 hours of data)

volume on monthly vwap
코멘트:
heavy bidding on monthly vwap
코멘트:
note

it's not time to be bearish, and expecting reversal.
don't marry with your bias
코멘트: Buy vs Sell (Spot vs Derivs)

Price: $55,931

Spot Vol.
 Buy: $182.9M
 Sell: $140.6M

Derivs Vol.
 Buy: $1.1B
 Sell: $926.3M

USDT Vol.
 Buy: $29.8M
 Sell: $23.8M

(Latest 1 hours of data)
코멘트:
코멘트:
most calling for this bearish divergence on weekly/daily/4hour

다이버전스는 그 인디케이터의 high/low 가 컨펌이 되야 하는 것입니다.
한마디로 주봉상/일봉상 rsi low 가 나오기 전까지
weekly bearish / daily bearish div 는 온전히 추측일 수 밖에 없습니다.
코멘트: if y want to sell the market, y can sure do that.
but y would do sell the market without confirmation.
confirmation will give you entry as well.
코멘트:
lets see what NY brings us
코멘트:
코멘트: Buy vs Sell (Spot vs Derivs)

Price: $55,387

Spot Vol.
 Buy: $156.3M
 Sell: $135.1M

Derivs Vol.
 Buy: $782M
 Sell: $911M

USDT Vol.
 Buy: $27.6M
 Sell: $39.1M

(Latest 1 hours of data)
코멘트: +funding rates ...
its coming
코멘트:
While it may seem small, the ripple effects of small things is extraordinary. ...
코멘트:
bounced on local eq, and above poc now.. should squeeze follow soon
코멘트:
so far so good, consolidation between previous weekly vwap and daily vwap.
코멘트:
fresh 3day candle, previous candle close in bullish contiunation.
코멘트: Btc - Buy vs Sell (Spot vs Derivs)

Price: $56,553

Spot Vol.
 Buy: $158.3M
 Sell: $139M

Derivs Vol.
 Buy: $1.1B
 Sell: $928M

USDT Vol.
 Buy: $27.5M
 Sell: $15.9M

(Latest 1 hours of data)
코멘트: Btc - Buy vs Sell (Spot vs Derivs)

Price: $55,586

Spot Vol.
 Buy: $67.2M
 Sell: $65.4M

Derivs Vol.
 Buy: $508.8M
 Sell: $624.7M

USDT Vol.
 Buy: $14.2M
 Sell: $18.4M

(Latest 1 hours of data)
코멘트:
Took full profit on Hbar

Enj , Hbar seems breaking down parabolic structure.
Major alt seems pretty good especially XRP
코멘트: ETH, XTZ, XRP , DOT , LTC in my alt bag.
코멘트:
CHZ,Theta still in parabolic and no signs of weakness yet.
BAT started Parabolic, this usually goes stronger than expectation.
코멘트: Buy vs Sell (Spot vs Derivs)

Price: $56,003

Spot Vol.
 Buy: $79.4M
 Sell: $81.9M

Derivs Vol.
 Buy: $659.8M
 Sell: $662.9M

USDT Vol.
 Buy: $12.7M
 Sell: $9.8M

(Latest 1 hours of data)

note

still demand < supply in volumewise,
but price consolidated and made bounce = ?
코멘트:
many short liquidity around ath, and possible path, trap more shorts ? or break through and push up higher with liquidation cascade.
코멘트: Btc - Buy vs Sell (Spot vs Derivs)

Price: $56,350

Spot Vol.
 Buy: $81M
 Sell: $82M

Derivs Vol.
 Buy: $575M
 Sell: $480.8M

USDT Vol.
 Buy: $19M
 Sell: $14.4M

(Latest 1 hours of data)

derivative apes season coming
코멘트: Btc - Buy vs Sell (Spot vs Derivs)

Price: $55,791

Spot Vol.
 Buy: $78.6M
 Sell: $78M

Derivs Vol.
 Buy: $486.2M
 Sell: $473.2M

USDT Vol.
 Buy: $20.3M
 Sell: $29.3M

(Latest 1 hours of data)
코멘트:
still consolidating between previous weekly vwap and daily vwap.
if breaks down 50-51k would be good bidding
코멘트:
filling inefficiency
코멘트:
코멘트: Btc - Buy vs Sell (Spot vs Derivs)

Price: $55,066

Spot Vol.
 Buy: $120.7M
 Sell: $104.6M

Derivs Vol.
 Buy: $721.2M
 Sell: $702.6M

USDT Vol.
 Buy: $23.2M
 Sell: $30M

(Latest 1 hours of data)
코멘트: Btc - Buy vs Sell (Spot vs Derivs)

Price: $54,841

Spot Vol.
 Buy: $97.1M
 Sell: $96.7M

Derivs Vol.
 Buy: $759.1M
 Sell: $786.8M

USDT Vol.
 Buy: $16.6M
 Sell: $14.6M

(Latest 1 hours of data)

neutral again, market need a trigger
코멘트: Btc - Buy vs Sell (Spot vs Derivs)

Price: $55,183

Spot Vol.
 Buy: $192.6M
 Sell: $184M

Derivs Vol.
 Buy: $1.5B
 Sell: $1.4B

USDT Vol.
 Buy: $17.1M
 Sell: $19.3M

(Latest 1 hours of data)

note

There is an announcement today at FOMC that everyone is concerned about,
i think the good news and the bad news that everyone knows is priced in already.
was it priced in good or bad ?
+ bond rised , stocks been sideway and pulled a bit, btc followed us100.
my bet Powell won't speak about any good or bad thing, after that it will push market up again without concerns.
코멘트:
코멘트:
if we break this supply chain, there is no stopping zone for short term.
70k + in one week prob
코멘트: https://www.viewbase.com/funding

this move barely made change on rates,
more squeeze ?
코멘트: Price: $58,928

Spot Vol.
 Buy: $224.8M
 Sell: $191.5M

Derivs Vol.
 Buy: $1.4B
 Sell: $1.2B

USDT Vol.
 Buy: $19.7M
 Sell: $25.1M

(Latest 1 hours of data)
코멘트:
volume on spot is most important since btc heading towards ATH.
market is mostly pushing by volume on derivatives, which could be a concern.
but yes, i will wait and see when btc breaks ATH 61k, 65k will be a good point to watch if supply pops up.
코멘트: if we hit supply on 63-65k ish, and see if there is signs of weakness.
btc prob gonna feel all the liquidity void below 39k , 44k.
코멘트:
possibility like this
코멘트: again, its a one of possibilities, there is no signs of weakness yet.
and local bottom , volume expanded ( accumulated ).
코멘트:
참고(교육) 자료.
코멘트:
코멘트:
st , liquidity = 56.9 - 57.1
코멘트: 57.3 = 50x long liquidation
코멘트: Btc - Buy vs Sell (Spot vs Derivs)

Price: $58,161

Spot Vol.
 Buy: $95M
 Sell: $95.4M

Derivs Vol.
 Buy: $501.3M
 Sell: $629.4M

USDT Vol.
 Buy: $16.8M
 Sell: $16.8M

(Latest 1 hours of data)

spot neutral , derivatives more sells.
코멘트:
코멘트: Btc - Buy vs Sell (Spot vs Derivs)

Price: $58,100

Spot Vol.
 Buy: $149M
 Sell: $145.2M

Derivs Vol.
 Buy: $871.9M
 Sell: $915.2M

USDT Vol.
 Buy: $25.9M
 Sell: $32.8M

(Latest 1 hours of data)

reversion
코멘트: some supply pop , im laddering my order on low 56
코멘트: Im bidding 30% here 56.5
코멘트:
deviation happen when there is liquidity to take out.
코멘트:
st , liquidity = all taken, building a position
코멘트:
코멘트:
volume expanded on local bottom, consolidate above poc , funding neutral.
facebood ? apple ? 64k would be good target on next spike up.

my stops on b.e , enjoy the wknd
거래청산: 타겟 닿음
코멘트: Spot Vol.
 Buy: $148.9M
 Sell: $138.6M

Derivs Vol.
 Buy: $1.1B
 Sell: $1.1B

USDT Vol.
 Buy: $19.3M
 Sell: $20.2M

(Latest 1 hours of data)
코멘트: stepping on stone, enjoy the short squeeze on ny open.

코멘트

대고수
+3 응답
57.3...50배요??
청산이 어디에...그자리에 들어가게요...ㅋㅌㅋㅌ
전 다보는 57.3하고 56.5에 2분할로...ㅎㅎ
응답
@ghxodhkd, 고점 50 배 롱의 청산가가 그쯤이에요 . 저는 아래서 롱 잡고있고 일부 청산한것 57-56.8 에 들어가려구요 :)
응답
@ghxodhkd, 그리고 저는 마진은 레버리지 1-2배 정도에요 :)
응답
ghxodhkd MacroTradingE
@MacroTradingE, 저도 위에서 팔고 밑에서 잡은 나머지 20퍼물량에 추매 대기중 입니다...^^
일단 62-63정도 목표가....혹은 홀딩...ㅠㅠ
응답
@ghxodhkd, 예 축하드립니다 ㅎ 근데 제가 뭐 기분나쁘게라도 만든건지 흠? ㅎㅎ 돈 많이버십쇼~
응답
ghxodhkd MacroTradingE
@MacroTradingE,
?? 아닌데용..마크로님 관점이 많은 참조가 되는데요..ㅠㅠ
응답
@ghxodhkd, 아핳 ㅈㅅ.. 위스키가 잘못했네요 글을 잘못 이해했어요
응답
ghxodhkd MacroTradingE
@MacroTradingE,
위스키....ㅎㅎ
응답
홈으로 스탁 스크리너 포렉스 스크리너 크립토 스크리너 이코노믹 캘린더 정보 차트 특징 프라이싱 프렌드 리퍼하기 하우스룰(내부규정) 헬프 센터 웹사이트 & 브로커 솔루션 위젯 차팅 솔루션 라이트웨이트 차팅 라이브러리 블로그 & 뉴스 트위터
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