Rally is a bit overextended. Is it time for wave 4 and then an epic wave 5 in November? Note while I think wave 3 is already over, price could still make one more high say at the 1.618 and the count will still be valid.
Price action has chosen to explore the bottom half of the pitch fork on the daily chart, we could explore the top half : )
Price action has chosen to explore the bottom half of the pitch fork on the daily chart, we could explore the top half : )
코멘트:
Seems clear we are breaking down for wave 4:
코멘트:
Tapped the .236 nicely, and buyers stepped in. Nice bounce, still think we are going lower. If we somehow make it past the 1.38 red extension than I'm definitely wrong : )
코멘트:
Not a fan of 5 minute charts, but this was a clear rising wedge that just broke down...
코멘트:
If 54xx doesn't hold still expecting new lows...
코멘트:
코멘트:
Not much has changed, price still flirting with breaking this level, but indicators are suggesting the pull back is still coming. Still looking for the pull back to at least $5400, then we see if it holds.
코멘트:
Looks like some big short liquidations on bitmex...
Watch this yellow trendline...its possible this may just go parabolic on us and wave 5 has already begun.
Watch this yellow trendline...its possible this may just go parabolic on us and wave 5 has already begun.
코멘트:
코멘트:
*better trendline
코멘트:
This doesn't feel like FOMO to me : ) At least for now.
코멘트:
Now we have bear divs on the 4h as well:
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코멘트:
Sorry guys, just realize my fib levels accidentally got moved some how...I just fixed the chart. Only effects the "hard way" target.
코멘트:
Looks like I was wrong : ) Trendline broken, previous high broken, volume coming in. FOMO coming in. Wave 5 is in progress.
코멘트:
Look at this montly candle forming wow!
코멘트:
Daily chart (similarities)
코멘트:
$5700 holding so far..important support level
코멘트:
Trend is up so I expect $5700 to hold, but if not here's what to look for:
코멘트:
Also, while we did break below $5700 just now the big drop is not really confirmed until a daily candle closes below that level.
코멘트:
Okay I think I figured this out. We are still in wave 4, its some type of a flat. Either it is completing now as we speak, or we are going much lower depending on the type of flat. I'm still bullish so expecting the first option. If this doesn't reverse soon then its the second. Good luck
코멘트:
If we hold $5400 here I think there is a very good chance wave 4 is complete
코멘트:
Since I have some time, some education, why I believe its wave B in a running flat (as opposed to wave 5):
코멘트:
코멘트:
Feel confident we just finished a running flat correction.
Question is where we are overall. This is a slightly different count that fits with my new published chart.
Sticking with this for now.
Question is where we are overall. This is a slightly different count that fits with my new published chart.
코멘트:
코멘트:
Oh woops, i switched the colors, lets make it the same as I had:
코멘트:
I think that's it for wave 4, time for wave 5:
코멘트:
Yup looks like $6900 was the bottom, just making this slight adjustment to the count which makes more sense:
코멘트:
Looks to me like wave 4 is in progress:
코멘트:
I think that's it for wave 4 guys:
코멘트:
Eh, bad call, sorry guys. It happens, but as far as the count goes, still totally valid as long as we dont go below $5k.
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Forget to update this one...from now on just follow this chart:
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haha this made it up to the target but tradingview cuts off that price action not cool : (
