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IvanLabrie
2016년 1월 22일 오전 1시 45분

BTCCNY: Update - Pending downside 

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In this chart I demonstrate how BTCCNY is correlated to equities. My previous analysis resulted in a powerful short setup which hit the target. Currently we're in a short trade, after closing out longs we had opened near the lows a couple days ago.
I anticipate more sellers coming into this pair, as well as in the stock indexes, so it's wise to be positioned on the short side for the coming weeks.

There's a deadline for price to hit my first target, which should be achieved by February 7th or earlier, as well as potential for an extended decline reaching all the way down to my second target at 1399.01.
In the short term, short sellers can book partial profits on a retest of the recent weekly low.
For more information contact me privately, I'm running a Bitcoin, Stocks and Forex trading group, as well as offering a promotion for people who opt for coaching sessions which is valid until January 31st.

Cheers,

Ivan Labrie.

액티브 트레이드

Trade is currently risk free. We have covered half the position today.

코멘트

Short term retrace seems complete.
If we don't see a sharp move down in one day, it might be safer to keep a wide stop and wait for the weekly confirmation (this and next week, to reach targets on chart)

매매 수동청산

코멘트

Waiting for new year.

코멘트

BTC has very little time to validate the decline, it must follow this path to do so.
I'll short any rally, with a tight stop above the new weekly mode here.
코멘트
BernhardAnalytics
our target was almost the same, drmilos told me your target, nice done.
shorted too.
IvanLabrie
:) Thanks.
Went long near the low, added, closed long, shorted.
Now looking to go risk free and bank some.
Galvin
Looking at the daily, a huge move is going to happen. Each daily candle is smaller building up an epic move up or down. I'm leaning more towards up. Should happen this week.
IvanLabrie
Yes, inside days, inside week.
Definitely a big move coming. Can break up or down, since we have a mixed bag of signals, but potentially down.
BitcoinGuru
Agreed, I tweeted about this comparison few days ago comparison between 680/660 top and our current 500/470 top: prntscr.com/9skycw i think we will see some big washout downwards if we fail to go above the 1D middle of the BB ($425)
IvanLabrie
C300 is headed to 2000 zone.
Once that happens, BTC will already be dropping hard.
BernhardAnalytics
my target
rivet.popper
So you got a small rally today. Are you short? BTW 225 USD in 3 days is quite a dump. I guess anything's possible.
IvanLabrie
I'm flat:


Need confirmation to act safely.
Shorts have been profitable but we could see a massive drop for Chinese New Year (most likely a shakeout before more rallies)
The monthly uptrend is still up, but it demands we reach that target above before end o February.
rivet.popper
Hm, your prediction diverges from Tim West now. He's seeing a clear downtrend for BTC over the next 4 more weeks, then possibly further. He's not the only one saying we're still in a downtrend. Are you both using the same TAM techniques or do you use other indicators?
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