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Batrachotoxin
2019년 10월 16일 오후 12시 24분

BTC dominance is expecting to be dropped, a chance for altcoins? 

Market Cap BTC Dominance, %CRYPTOCAP

설명

BTC dominance (BTC.D) is expecting to be dropped, a chance for altcoins?

Bearish signs for BTC.D as shown in the daily chart:
- BTC.D violented key support at around 69%, as mentioned in the previous analysis.
- BTC.D can't break the downtrend resistance, established since the earlier of September 2019.
- At the time, TRIX fails to break its downtrend resistance and being in the bearish area since mid-September.
- MA20 is pointing down with a high angle.

BTC.D will have a small rising to test MA20 (which is a higher edge of the falling wedge pattern), then slowly drops to the Fibonacci retracement 50% (65.8%).
BTC.D dropping is evident tells that the capital is flowing from BTC to altcoins. This, overall, is a good sign of the altcoin market.
The altcoin blooming season is still far away, but altcoins will have good recovery in the next days.

A possible scenario of the crypto market in the next days:
- BTC will have a drop, relatively, BTC.D will have a small rising.
- BTC finds strong support (might be around $6600), then enters the consolidation phase.
- Top altcoins (ie. ETH, XRP, LTC, BNB, etc) will fly when BTC gets stable. Then the next coins have lower market caps will follow the top.
코멘트
dompa
that looks bullish, isn't it?
Batrachotoxin
@dompa, base on modern chart pattern statistics, a 'Falling wedge' in the bearish market has 58% of upward breakout and 33% of downward breakout chances. In combination with other indicators, I'm inclined to the latter plan.
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