APP Weekly Trade Plan – June 20, 2025

🟥 APP Weekly Trade Plan – June 20, 2025
🎯 Instrument: APP (Applovin Corp)
📉 Direction: Bearish (Put)
📅 Expiry: 2025-06-20
📊 Confidence Level: 65%
⏰ Entry Timing: Market Open

🔎 Model Consensus Breakdown
Model Direction Summary
Grok/xAI 🔻 Bearish Clear bearish momentum. Recommends $325 put.
Claude ⚠️ No Trade Mixed signals; confidence below 50%.
Gemini 🔻 Bearish Recommends $322.50 put based on RSI/VIX.
Llama ⚠️ No Trade Slightly bearish but low conviction.
DeepSeek 🔼 Bullish Contrarian call ($327.50) against oversold bounce.

🧠 Consensus Takeaway
✅ Most models agree APP is under bearish pressure on the daily chart.

⚠️ Mixed signals emerge due to oversold RSI and elevated VIX (~20.31).

🧨 Watch for short squeezes or rebound attempts off key support ($325–$327).

✅ Recommended Trade (Put Option)
Metric Value
🎯 Strike $325 Put
💰 Entry Price $0.75 (limit)
🛑 Stop Loss $0.38
🎯 Profit Target $0.975+
📈 Confidence 65%
📏 Size 1 contract
📅 Expiry June 20, 2025

💡 This trade bets on short-term continuation lower, possibly breaking $325 support.

⚠️ Risk Management Notes
VIX at 20+ increases whipsaw risk — limit order strongly recommended.

Oversold RSI could lead to a dead-cat bounce.

Respect the stop-loss if APP rebounds above $327 intraday.

🧾 TRADE_DETAILS (JSON Format)
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{
"instrument": "APP",
"direction": "put",
"strike": 325.0,
"expiry": "2025-06-20",
"confidence": 0.65,
"profit_target": 0.975,
"stop_loss": 0.38,
"size": 1,
"entry_price": 0.75,
"entry_timing": "open",
"signal_publish_time": "2025-06-20 15:21:16 UTC-04:00"
}